Functions — github.com/Jon-Becker/prediction-market-analysis

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Functions266 in github.com/Jon-Becker/prediction-market-analysis

⨍ Functions 266◇ Types & classes 55

↓ 64 callersMethodget

(self, url: str, *, params: Optional[dict] = None)

src/common/client.py:80

↓ 15 callersMethodsave

Run the analysis and save outputs to the specified directory. Args: output_dir: Directory to save outputs. formats: L

src/common/analysis.py:97

↓ 9 callersMethodload

Scan directory for Indexer subclass implementations. Args: indexer_dir: Directory to scan for indexer modules. Returns:

src/common/indexer.py:40

↓ 7 callersFunction_make_figure

()

tests/test_analysis_save.py:27

↓ 7 callersMethodprogress

Show a progress spinner while executing a block of code. Usage: with self.progress("Loading data"): df = con.exec

src/common/analysis.py:68

↓ 6 callersMethodfrom_dict

(cls, data: dict)

src/indexers/kalshi/models.py:23

↓ 5 callersMethod_format_number

Format a number with commas.

src/analysis/kalshi/meta_stats.py:106

↓ 5 callersFunction_make_dataframe

()

tests/test_analysis_save.py:33

↓ 4 callersMethodclose

(self)

src/indexers/polymarket/client.py:21

↓ 4 callersMethodget_block_number

Get current block number.

src/indexers/polymarket/blockchain.py:117

↓ 3 callersMethodclose

(self)

src/indexers/kalshi/client.py:21

↓ 3 callersMethodclose

(self)

src/common/client.py:66

↓ 3 callersMethodto_dict

(self)

src/common/interfaces/chart.py:63

↓ 2 callersFunction_build_kwargs

Map constructor params to fixture paths based on platform module.

tests/test_analysis_run.py:22

↓ 2 callersMethod_chunk_path

(self, start: int, end: int)

src/common/storage.py:24

↓ 2 callersMethod_cohens_d

Compute Cohen's d effect size.

src/analysis/kalshi/statistical_tests.py:479

↓ 2 callersMethod_compute_cumulative

Pre-compute cumulative totals/wins by price for each week.

src/analysis/comparison/win_rate_by_price_animated.py:198

↓ 2 callersMethod_fetch_logs_with_retry

Fetch logs for a topic, splitting range if too large.

src/indexers/polymarket/fpmm_trades.py:136

↓ 2 callersMethod_get_market_chunks

Get all market chunk files sorted by start index.

src/common/storage.py:18

↓ 2 callersFunction_make_animation

()

tests/test_analysis_save.py:47

↓ 2 callersFunction_make_chart

()

tests/test_analysis_save.py:37

↓ 2 callersFunction_make_polymarket_ctf_trades

Build minimal Polymarket CTF trades DataFrame (~10 rows). 5 price levels x 2 sides (buying token_yes_a and token_yes_b). maker_asset_id='0' m

tests/conftest.py:78

↓ 2 callersFunction_make_polymarket_legacy_trades

Build minimal Polymarket legacy FPMM trades DataFrame (~10 rows). 5 price levels x 2 outcome indices, all for the same FPMM address.

tests/conftest.py:111

↓ 2 callersMethod_request

(self, method: str, url: str, **kwargs)

src/common/client.py:86

↓ 2 callersMethodfrom_dict

(cls, data: dict)

src/indexers/polymarket/models.py:24

↓ 2 callersMethodget_trades

Fetch OrderFilled events from a block range.

src/indexers/polymarket/blockchain.py:145

↓ 2 callersFunctionparse_datetime

(val: str)

src/indexers/kalshi/models.py:8

↓ 2 callersMethodrun

Backfill all Polymarket trades from the Polygon blockchain. This fetches OrderFilled events from both CTF Exchange contracts (regular

src/indexers/polymarket/trades.py:40

↓ 2 callersMethodrun

Execute the indexer to fetch and store data.

src/common/indexer.py:35

↓ 2 callersMethodrun

(self)

tests/test_analysis_save.py:23

↓ 2 callersFunctionsnake_to_title

Convert snake_case string to Title Case.

src/common/util/strings.py:1

↓ 2 callersMethodto_json

Convert to JSON string.

src/common/interfaces/chart.py:163

↓ 1 callersMethod_build_hierarchy_json

Build hierarchical JSON structure for treemap. Args: df_raw: DataFrame with category and total_volume columns min_pct

src/analysis/kalshi/market_types.py:78

↓ 1 callersMethod_compute_calibration_metrics

Compute Brier score and ECE from aggregated price data. Brier score = mean((p - y)²) where p is predicted prob, y is outcome (0 or 1)

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_win_rate_by_price.py:187

↓ 1 callersMethod_compute_metrics

Compute calibration summary metrics across buckets. ECE (Expected Calibration Error): trade-weighted mean of |actual_rate - mean_pred

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_calibration_by_bucket.py:189

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_volume_over_time.py:140

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_trades_over_time.py:104

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_calibration_by_bucket.py:311

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_win_rate_by_price.py:301

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/win_rate_by_price.py:109

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/yes_vs_no_by_price.py:136

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/ev_yes_vs_no.py:172

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_returns_by_direction.py:159

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/vwap_by_hour.py:132

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_win_rate_by_direction.py:157

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/volume_over_time.py:74

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_taker_gap_over_time.py:177

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/kalshi_calibration_deviation_over_time.py:159

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_vs_taker_returns.py:168

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/win_rate_by_trade_size.py:126

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/market_types.py:267

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/mispricing_by_price.py:176

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/returns_by_hour.py:105

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_taker_returns_by_category.py:199

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/trade_size_by_role.py:147

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_chart

Create the chart configuration for web display.

src/analysis/kalshi/longshot_volume_share_over_time.py:166

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_volume_over_time.py:115

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_trades_over_time.py:82

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create a grouped bar chart comparing predicted vs actual per bucket.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_calibration_by_bucket.py:225

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/polymarket/polymarket_win_rate_by_price.py:248

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/win_rate_by_price.py:76

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/yes_vs_no_by_price.py:95

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/ev_yes_vs_no.py:126

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_returns_by_direction.py:127

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/vwap_by_hour.py:85

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_win_rate_by_direction.py:120

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/volume_over_time.py:49

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_taker_gap_over_time.py:109

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/kalshi_calibration_deviation_over_time.py:132

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_vs_taker_returns.py:132

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/win_rate_by_trade_size.py:91

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib treemap figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/market_types.py:155

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/mispricing_by_price.py:132

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/returns_by_hour.py:84

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/maker_taker_returns_by_category.py:162

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/trade_size_by_role.py:102

↓ 1 callersMethod_create_figure

Create the matplotlib figure.

src/analysis/kalshi/longshot_volume_share_over_time.py:120

↓ 1 callersMethod_decode_fpmm_buy

Decode an FPMMBuy event log.

src/indexers/polymarket/fpmm_trades.py:84

↓ 1 callersMethod_decode_fpmm_sell

Decode an FPMMSell event log.

src/indexers/polymarket/fpmm_trades.py:110

↓ 1 callersMethod_decode_order_filled

Decode an OrderFilled event log.

src/indexers/polymarket/blockchain.py:126

↓ 1 callersFunction_discover_modules

Collect dotted module names for every .py file under src/.

tests/test_compile.py:17

↓ 1 callersMethod_format_billions

Format a number as billions with 2 decimal places.

src/analysis/kalshi/meta_stats.py:111

↓ 1 callersMethod_format_millions

Format a number as millions with 1 decimal place.

src/analysis/kalshi/meta_stats.py:116

↓ 1 callersMethod_get_last_indexed_block

Get the highest block number from existing files based on filename.

src/indexers/polymarket/blocks.py:68

↓ 1 callersMethod_get_latest_block

Get the latest block number from the chain.

src/indexers/polymarket/blocks.py:87

↓ 1 callersMethod_interpolate_timestamps

Interpolate timestamps for all blocks between sampled points.

src/indexers/polymarket/blocks.py:42

↓ 1 callersMethod_load_existing_tickers

Load all existing tickers for deduplication.

src/common/storage.py:27

↓ 1 callersMethod_load_kalshi_aggregates

Load Kalshi trades pre-aggregated by week and price.

src/analysis/comparison/win_rate_by_price_animated.py:230

↓ 1 callersMethod_load_polymarket_aggregates

Load Polymarket trades pre-aggregated by week and price, including legacy trades.

src/analysis/comparison/win_rate_by_price_animated.py:271

↓ 1 callersFunction_make_kalshi_markets

Build minimal Kalshi markets DataFrame (2 rows).

tests/conftest.py:56

↓ 1 callersFunction_make_kalshi_trades

Build Kalshi trades DataFrame (2100 rows). 7 price levels x 3 variants x 100 copies. The 100-copy multiplier ensures analyses with minimum-s

tests/conftest.py:19

↓ 1 callersFunction_make_polymarket_blocks

Build blocks DataFrame with an entry for every exact block_number in trades. Needed by PolymarketTradesOverTimeAnalysis (direct join) and volume/

tests/conftest.py:168

↓ 1 callersFunction_make_polymarket_markets

Build minimal Polymarket markets DataFrame (2 rows). Market A resolved YES (outcome_prices=[1.0, 0.0]), has FPMM address. Market B resolved N

tests/conftest.py:142

↓ 1 callersMethod_save_bucket

Save a bucket of records to a parquet file.

src/indexers/polymarket/blocks.py:150

↓ 1 callersMethod_test_category_gaps

Test 3: Category gap differences.

src/analysis/kalshi/statistical_tests.py:260

↓ 1 callersMethod_test_maker_direction

Test 5: Maker direction performance.

src/analysis/kalshi/statistical_tests.py:380

↓ 1 callersMethod_test_trade_size_by_role

Test 1: Trade size by role across price levels.

src/analysis/kalshi/statistical_tests.py:103

↓ 1 callersMethod_test_trade_size_performance

Test 4: Trade size -> performance relationship.

src/analysis/kalshi/statistical_tests.py:320

↓ 1 callersMethod_test_yes_no_asymmetry

Test 2: YES/NO asymmetry by price level.

src/analysis/kalshi/statistical_tests.py:157

↓ 1 callersMethod_throttle

(self)

src/common/client.py:69

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